O artigo publicado no DI com o título "Eleições nacionais com muitas interrogações" foi transcrito, em Inglês, pela publicação da Universidade de Fresno, na Califórnia, dirigida por Diniz Borges.
NOVIDADES - THE ISLANDS AND THE DIASPORA
Portuguese National elections bring up many questions including in the Azores.
After the regional elections – still with doubts about how they will turn out – attention is now turning to the national elections, where the campaign is conducted with more doubts than certainties.
The results of the regional elections are not expected to have much influence on the election to the Assembly of the Republic. These are different frameworks and different situations. It is possible that the solution adopted in the Azores will be included in the debate.
In any case, it makes sense to recall the results of the last elections to the Assembly of the Republic, both in the Azores and the country, to refresh our memories. At a national level, too, the circumstances that marked the holding of this election are, in many ways, strange and could determine the direction of many votes. The polls are giving some clues, but many questions remain.
Perhaps the most certain element is that abstention will also fall at a national level, given the greater intensity of the debates and the doubts being raised, which could have consequences for people.
Looking at the graphs of the 2022 results, you can see that the PS won the elections, both nationally and in the region, and it was possible to build a stable national government, although with a lot of turbulence in various sectors.
The graph below shows the results of the 2022 election in the Azores.
What will happen in the Azores?
As far as the Azores are concerned, it’s not easy to imagine what will happen. As has already been said, it is not straightforward for the results of the regional elections to influence the election to the Assembly of the Republic. At this point, people are increasingly politically aware and vote according to the election.
However, both the electoral campaign and the regionals’ final speeches will influence how people view these elections. In informal conversations, people liked Bolieiro’s firm speech and appreciated the fact that he had put CHEGA in its place. It was often said that if the elections were repeated, the PSD would win by a majority.
The PS leader wasn’t so happy, and during the campaign, he didn’t manage to counteract his less-than-empathetic image of dealing with people.
Ventura did his best to win the national elections by improving his results. Still, his representative in the region didn’t live up to the hype, and a few “gaffes” during the election campaign gave rise to the idea that CHEGA, despite growing in electoral terms, is a project with an expiration date, as has happened to several other similar parties.
The rest of the parties have been the same, with a close electorate, and it is believed that they will maintain similar results.
In any case, the campaign waged by the national leaders, who have a greater presence in the media and are the ones who are fundamentally on trial, will count above all.
But just as in the regional elections, voters will seek stability. In the country as a whole, people haven’t understood the need for this election either, so they will weigh up very carefully which side is best placed to lead a solid government.
Rafael Cota-Journalist
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